The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.Long-term direction: real estate, kitchen appliances, chicken raising, food, zinc, good free cash flow, high dividends, high dividends, and growth (don't blindly pursue high dividends, be wary of varieties with high dividends and low dividends, and wait for the callback to stabilize and intervene).At present, photovoltaic is more of a restorative rise in destocking, and it is difficult to get out of the trend market again. Unless new demand breaks out, expectations should not be too high.
Before, we also said that a breakthrough here must be broken by a strong external force, and now the breakthrough stems from the important benefits that everyone has conveyed to the meeting. As long as the content of the meeting has not landed, such an expectation can be taken for a while, and the breakthrough here can also be regarded as an effective breakthrough.Friday's market was flat before 10:30, so the market enthusiasm was ignited again, thus the increase in volume broke through this triangle arrangement.Zhong Yu, the former chairman of Kangdexin, was sentenced to 15 years in prison and fined 20.2 million yuan. Kangdexin's financial fraud has harmed countless investors. Although the financial fine is not huge, 15 years' imprisonment is definitely the most severe punishment for A shares, which is definitely enough to shock.
Penalties for violations of laws and regulations have increased, driving the market to be more standardized.Zhu Zeyu's manipulation of 23 stocks, including Tongrun Equipment, was fined nearly 35 million by the CSRC; Wang Zhiheng's manipulation of Dongjie Smart's stock loss exceeded 200 million and was fined 2 million by the CSRC; Obviously, the punishment is increasing. As long as the illegal operation is violated, not only the illegal income will be confiscated, but also a fine will be imposed, even if the loss is no exception, which can play a very good deterrent role and make the market more standardized.While the market is gradually standardized, we can also see the long-term trend of the market from the side, and it is more oriented to return to the value itself. Therefore, we should also make preparations in advance and move closer to this direction. When the market clearly turns in this direction, there may be no good opportunities.
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide